Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004320 0.004546 0.004779 0.005036 0.005312 0.005600 0.005924
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003888 0.004221 0.004578 0.004990 0.005454 0.005963 0.006564
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003596 0.003985 0.004414 0.004924 0.005517 0.006189 0.007016
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003456 0.003896 0.004392 0.004997 0.005721 0.006567 0.007642
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003303 0.003776 0.004320 0.004997 0.005827 0.006822 0.008123
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003155 0.003650 0.004228 0.004961 0.005879 0.007004 0.008515
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003000 0.003505 0.004103 0.004874 0.005856 0.007085 0.008773
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002870 0.003384 0.004000 0.004806 0.005850 0.007180 0.009047
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002787 0.003315 0.003958 0.004810 0.005931 0.007388 0.009480
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002634 0.003154 0.003791 0.004646 0.005783 0.007282 0.009470
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002571 0.003103 0.003762 0.004656 0.005865 0.007486 0.009901
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002557 0.003112 0.003809 0.004768 0.006087 0.007890 0.010642
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002472 0.003029 0.003733 0.004714 0.006080 0.007976 0.010924
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002397 0.002955 0.003669 0.004672 0.006088 0.008082 0.011242
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002320 0.002876 0.003593 0.004611 0.006065 0.008140 0.011486
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002296 0.002867 0.003610 0.004678 0.006226 0.008475 0.012183
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002249 0.002824 0.003581 0.004678 0.006288 0.008664 0.012656
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002192 0.002768 0.003530 0.004646 0.006300 0.008775 0.013006
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002123 0.002691 0.003449 0.004566 0.006238 0.008767 0.013155
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002063 0.002626 0.003381 0.004504 0.006199 0.008792 0.013359
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002027 0.002594 0.003359 0.004507 0.006259 0.008976 0.013848
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001943 0.002492 0.003236 0.004357 0.006077 0.008762 0.013620
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001914 0.002467 0.003221 0.004366 0.006143 0.008954 0.014130